Nation-wide Economic Slowdown:
Prospects for Montana and the Missoula
Area
By Dr.
Larry Swanson
O’Connor Center for the Rocky Mountain
West
University of Montana
The U.S. economy is in a recession
or extended economic slowdown, with income growth slumping and employment falling. This slowdown was precipitated by troubles
in the U.S. housing market. Over-leveraged mortgage-backed
securities were used to finance an over-heated U.S. housing industry and as home values began to decline, many of the nation’s largest financial
institutions have been pushed toward insolvency, particularly large investment
banking concerns who are holding investments in mortgages.
As housing values
fall, a crisis in credit and liquidity has developed, prompting the
Administration and Congress to put together an emergency measure for
rescuing U.S. financial institutions, if not the U.S. economy itself from a financial
meltdown. Impacts of this crisis will
continue to ripple through the economy.
Troubles in the U.S. housing sector and financial markets are translating into falling construction activity throughout
the U.S. Some states are being much
more affected by this construction slowdown than others.
Missoula and other
areas in Montana are experiencing spillovers from this nation-wide
slowdown. How much we will be impacted will hinge
upon how long the economic persists and deepens and the success of measures to counter it.
Missoula Business Forum, December, 2008