BILLINGS — Population growth in Montana's urban areas has showed
no signs of slowdown in recent years, according to the latest U.S.
Census figures.
The state's population increased from 902,195 in 2000 to an
estimated 944,632 in 2006.
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Of that increase of 42,000
people, 38,000 lived in the seven "urban counties" — Yellowstone,
Missoula, Gallatin, Flathead, Cascade, Lewis and Clark, and Silver
Bow. More people are moving to Montana's bigger cities than to
its open countryside, said Larry Swanson, director of the O'Connor
Center for the Rocky Mountain West at the University of Montana.
"It's a different kind of urbanization process than we've talked
about in the past in other parts of the country," he said.
Lora Mattox, a neighborhood planner with the City-County Planning
Department in Yellowstone County, said she and her colleagues were
puzzled by the population estimates released by the Census Bureau in
late March.
According to the data, Yellowstone County's population had grown
only 6.9 percent between 2000 and July 1, 2006, for an annual growth
rate of just over 1.1 percent.
For years, planners have estimated Billings' growth rate at 2
percent a year, or slightly more than that, Mattox said.
They searched the state Department of Commerce Web site and found
a map that seemed to explain the discrepancy. The map showed the
fastest-growing counties in Montana from 2000 to 2005, and it showed
how fast incorporated areas in each county were growing compared
with unincorporated areas.
In Yellowstone County, the map showed a growth rate of 9 percent
in incorporated areas, paired with a 5 percent decline in
unincorporated areas.
Part of that can be attributed to annexations in recent years,
with the city of Billings expanding to take in already established
residential areas or subdivisions that have grown rapidly since
being annexed.
The population figures for incorporated and unincorporated areas
were even more lopsided in other counties.
In Flathead County, incorporated areas saw a growth rate of 31
percent from 2000 to 2005, compared with 3 percent in unincorporated
areas; while in Gallatin County, the ratio was 20 percent to 9
percent, and in Ravalli County 19 percent to 9 percent.
Missoula County was similar to Yellowstone, with 9 percent growth
in incorporated areas and a decline of 4 percent in unincorporated
areas.
Swanson said one obvious reason for the differences was that
county boundaries don't change, but cities keep expanding.
People want to live near mountains, rivers and other natural
attractions but still have the benefits of urban living — mainly
sewer and water service.
The trend should become even more pronounced in coming years
because the average age is steadily increasing in Montana, and older
people tend to live closer to health care and other services that
are concentrated in urban areas, Swanson said.
Whether you look at the growth rate of the county as a whole or
just the city of Billings, this area continues to have a steady,
manageable increase in population, Mattox said. Swanson agreed,
saying Yellowstone County's growth rate of 1.1 percent is "pretty
healthy."
By contrast, Gallatin County, which is the fastest-growing county
in the state, has seen a growth rate of more than 3 percent a year
since 2002.
That kind of growth "is almost incapacitating for planners,"
Swanson said.