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Urban areas pace state growth
The Big Sky still covers a lot of wide-open spaces, but the latest U.S. Census Bureau figures show Montana is an increasingly urban state.

Lora Mattox, a neighborhood planner with the City-County Planning Department, said she and her colleagues were somewhat puzzled when the most recent population estimates were released by the Census Bureau in late March.

According to those figures, the population of Yellowstone County had grown only 6.9 percent between 2000 and July 1, 2006, for an annual growth rate of a little more than 1.1 percent. That didn't seem to make sense because for years planners have estimated the growth rate for the city of Billings at 2 percent a year, or slightly more than that.

Digging around on the state Department of Commerce Web site, they found a map that seemed to explain what was going on. That map showed the fastest-growing counties in Montana from 2000 to 2005, and it also showed how fast incorporated areas in each county were growing compared with unincorporated areas.
In Yellowstone County, for example, the map showed a growth rate of 9 percent in Yellowstone County's incorporated areas, paired with a 5 percent decline in unincorporated areas of the county.

Part of that is attributable to annexations in recent years, with the city of Billings expanding to take in already established residential areas or subdivisions that have grown rapidly since being annexed. In 2002, the city annexed the Briarwood and Cedar Park subdivisions - with 500 people between them - south of the Yellowstone River. The Yellowstone Club Estates, with 300 households, was also annexed that year.

During one City Council meeting in 2002, the city annexed another four parcels totaling 558 acres on the northwest edge of the city. The largest of the parcels was the Ironwood Estates Subdivision, which was vacant when it was annexed but whose population has increased steadily in the past five years.

Larry Swanson, director of the O'Connor Center for the Rocky Mountain West at the University of Montana, said there has been a lot of talk about growth in a few energy-rich counties in Eastern Montana, but the real story is the continued growth of the "urban counties."

He said the seven urban counties in Montana - Yellowstone, Missoula, Gallatin, Flathead, Cascade, Lewis and Clark and Butte-Silver Bow - have accounted for 92.5 percent of the growth in the state's population since 2000. That population increased from 902,195 in 2000 to an estimated 944,632 in 2006. Of that increase of 42,000 people, 38,000 lived in the seven urban counties.

Year in and year out, Swanson said, more people are moving to those cities, not to the open countryside.

"It's a different kind of urbanization process than we've talked about in the past in other parts of the country," he said.

In some counties, the population figures for incorporated and unincorporated areas were even more lopsided than in Yellowstone County. In Flathead County, incorporated areas saw a growth rate of 31 percent between 2000 and 2005, compared with 3 percent in unincorporated areas, while in Gallatin County the ratio was 20 percent to 9 percent, and in Ravalli County 19 percent to 9 percent. Missoula County was very close to Yellowstone, with 9 percent growth in incorporated areas and a decline of 4 percent in unincorporated areas.

Swanson said one obvious reason for the differences is that county boundaries don't change, but cities keep expanding. People want to live near mountains, rivers and other natural attractions but still have the benefits of urban living - mainly sewer and water service.

The trend should become even more pronounced in the coming years because the average age is steadily increasing in Montana, and older people as a rule tend to live closer to health care and other services that are concentrated in urban areas, Swanson said.

Whether you look at the growth rate of the county as a whole or just the city of Billings, this area continues to have a steady, manageable increase in population, Mattox said. Swanson agreed, saying Yellowstone County's growth rate of 1.1 percent is "pretty healthy."

In Gallatin County, by contrast, which is the fastest-growing county in the state, the growth rate has been over 3 percent a year since 2002. That kind of growth, Swanson said, "is almost incapacitating for planners."

Contact Ed Kemmick at ekemmick@billingsgazette.com or 657-1293

Published on Tuesday, April 10, 2007.
Last modified on 4/10/2007 at 12:13 am


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