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Babies as economic indicators?

At the economic summit last week, there was plenty of chat about population growth, in-migration, out-migration and other demographic stuff.

In some northcentral Montana counties, economist Larry Swanson explained, population loss is simply a matter of deaths exceeding births.

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While it may seem odd to view the beginning and end of our human experience as economic indicators, Swanson is not alone in the pursuit.

A recent headline in a Bozeman newspaper noted that the local hospital had broken a record for births. The arrival of the 1,000 baby of 2005 came on Dec. 7, beating the 2004 full-year mark of 996 with weeks to spare. Births at the Bozeman hospital have climbed steadily in recent years.

"It does reflect the influx of young people into the valley," said Dr. Steve Nickisch, a Bozeman obstetrician.

In Great Falls in 2004, there were 1,401 births at Benefis Healthcare. As of the middle of last week, the total was 1,233.

The 1,000th birth in Bozeman was a son born to Melissa and Travis Bender, who recently moved to Belgrade from Great Falls for a construction job. Travis Bender says he knows several other couples who are expecting.

"I can't say if it's the economy or what," Bender said. "It's just a good time had by all."

Marketplace move

The Macerich Co. clearly has been busy working on redevelopment plans at Holiday Village Mall.

The recent announcement of plans for a new Scheels AllSports store, along with the development of Starbucks, Hollywood Video and eventually, Ross Dress for Less, are proof of that effort.

But Devin Hartley, Macerich's local property manager, speaking at the economic summit, piqued curiosity with mention of a possible project at the Great Falls Marketplace.

He told summiteers that Macerich is working with a group on a 30,000 square-foot "retail facility" near the Carmike Cinemas. An available 3.8-acre lot is the last significant space available at the Marketplace.

There were no names mentioned, leaving plenty of room for speculation.

"We are hoping to get that deal done in 2006," Hartley said.

It seems simple

City of Great Falls plans for seeking energy self-sufficiency can hardly be described as simple.

The components include a partnership with electrical cooperatives in a $515-million coal plant east of town and another partnership with other Montana cities in trying to buy Northwestern Energy. There's also a desire to own and operate power poles and lines in Great Falls. Generating electricity at the city's sewage treatment plant is also part of the plan.

City Manager John Lawton's explanation of the city's energy endeavors understandably had a few heads spinning at a recent Great Falls Development Authority board meeting.

After explaining the plans and winning the GFDA support, Lawton noted that electricity isn't the only meaty issue on the city plate.

"Electricity is difficult, complicated and time consuming," Lawton told the board. "But it's not anywhere near as difficult as golf," a reference to the city's struggle to find profit in its two golf courses.

Reach Tribune Business Editor James E. Larcombe at (800) 438-6600 or at blarcomb@greatfal.gannett.com.

Originally published December 18, 2005

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