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KRMC plans for expansion Posted: Sunday, Jan 07,
2007 - 11:49:10 pm MST By
CANDACE CHASEThe Daily Inter Lake
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virtually full parking lot in front of HealthCenter
Northwest and Kalispell Regional Medical Center shows
the daily use of the medical area in Kalispell. Craig
Moore/Daily Inter Lake
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Not long after opening a new patient tower in
2003, Kalispell Regional Medical Center officials realized they were
serving more patients than anticipated. “It’s a good problem to have,” said Jim Oliverson, vice
president and spokesman for the hospital.
As a result, the
medical center has begun research for new expansion to serve the
growing valley and graying population during the next 15 to 20
years.
Even with the best data available, forecasting the
future remains a dicey proposition. Studies completed eight or nine
years ago for the recent expansion underestimated growth and maximum
patient loads.
“A few years ago, school enrollments went down for a
couple of years,” Oliverson said. “That kind of thing can throw the
number crunchers off.”
The hospital spokesman said a
later-than-planned opening of HealthCenter Northwest caused initial
high occupancy rates in the new patient tower. Once open, the
separately licensed hospital provided a safety valve for spikes in
patient loads.
Rehabilitation was subsequently moved from the
medical center to HealthCenter Northwest.
“Now they’ve been
running pretty full,” Oliverson said.
He said the medical
center experiences peaks and valleys in room demand. Some days have
strained its capacity with new-admission patients waiting in holding
areas as staff prepare freshly vacated rooms.
Occupancies in
the medical center’s 68 acute-care beds reached highs of 73 in July,
78 in August, 85 in September, 79 in October and 69 (twice) in
November.
Patient-census numbers include both discharged and
new admissions each day. The figures don’t include patients in other
areas such as obstetrics and rehabilitation.
“It’s obvious we
don’t have enough beds,” Oliverson said.
The hospital hedged
its projections by financing its most recent expansion for seven
rather than 15 years.
Even if medical center officials
decided tomorrow to build a new patient tower, Oliverson said that
it would take at least three years “to get a shovel in the ground.”
No meetings with architects or engineers are scheduled
yet.
To cope with patient overflow, the medical center plans
to add a prefabricated nursing unit in June to the south end of the
first floor medical/surgical unit. Resting on a foundation, the unit
will meet hospital code, including rooms with private
showers.
Oliverson said the director of nursing inspected the
prebuilt unit purchased by the hospital. It comes complete with
interior appointments such as wall and floor coverings.
“The
rooms are very nice,” he said.
When a second patient tower is
complete, plans call for moving the prefabricated nursing unit to
Brendan House.
The addition provides 14 more beds for a total
of 24 medical/surgical beds. Exactly how many beds Kalispell
Regional Medical Center needs for the next two decades remains an
important question.
“We’re still trying to get a handle on
that number, ” Oliverson said.
He said it’s very costly to
have large numbers of vacant beds in a hospital because of ongoing
insurance, heating, cleaning and other expenses. But Oliverson said
the community expects the medical center to plan for beds for future
needs.
Toward that end, he has requested data from projection
experts such as Larry Swanson, associate director of UM’s O’Connor
Center for the Rocky Mountain West.
Oliverson also consulted
local planners about subdivision approvals. He needed to know how
many houses to expect and the average number of people per
household.
“I talked to people at the college, airport —
people who have to be out there 25 years,” he said.
He said
population growth projections range from 2.5 percent to 3.5 percent
a year.
Oliverson said that planners must temper immigration
numbers with out-migration to arrive at a net number. He said for
every three people who move here, one moves out.
“The number
is kind of a moving target,” he said.
Even with
out-migration, recent move-ins form a sizable chunk of the Flathead
Valley population. According to figures from the real estate
industry, half of the people now living in the valley arrived in the
last eight and a half years.
To plan for health-care
facilities, hospital officials need to know the demographics of the
future population.
Age demographics, for example, plays a
significant role in determining the mix of obstetrics, surgical and
long-term care beds in a new patient tower.
“Cancer and heart
disease — they are still the two big diseases of aging,” Oliverson
said.
Adding complexity to the task, the advance of medicine
requires that new hospital facilities include infrastructure to
handle the latest treatments. Changes in the political landscape
affecting Medicare reimbursements impact the economic viability of
expansion.
Before finalizing the number of beds for a new
patient tower, Oliverson said the medical center will consult a
broad range of people from medical staff and hospital advisory
committees to community leaders such as those serving on Kalispell
Regional Medical Center’s board of directors.
“We have to
come up with a number that everyone feels that’s a good number
pushed out 25 years,” he said.
Reporter Candace Chase may be
reached at 758-4436 or by e-mail at cchase@dailyinterlake.com.
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